Competing for the Future vs The Fundamental Index: Strategy vs. Smart Beta.
Two books, one decision — which one belongs on your shelf.
What we're comparing
Gary Hamel and C.K. Prahalad's Competing for the Future is a landmark corporate strategy text arguing that sustainable competitive advantage comes from foresight, core competencies, and the ability to imagine and create tomorrow's markets before competitors. Robert Arnott's The Fundamental Index challenges the investment orthodoxy of market-cap weighting, arguing that indexing on fundamental measures like earnings, dividends, and book value systematically outperforms cap-weighted benchmarks. One book is for strategy executives; one is for investment professionals. Both question conventional wisdom in their respective fields.
Dimension by dimension
Which one belongs on your shelf
“These books serve entirely different readers but both reward serious study. If you're an investor looking for portfolio construction insight, The Fundamental Index is directly applicable and the evidence base is solid — RAFI funds have lived track records that validate the thesis. If you're an executive or strategist, Competing for the Future remains a foundational text on how to build organizations that win in markets that don't yet exist. There is no meaningful overlap. Pick based on your role: investor reads Arnott; strategist reads Hamel and Prahalad.”
Common questions
Has fundamental indexing actually outperformed cap-weighted indexes in practice?
The track record is mixed and period-dependent. RAFI fundamental indexes outperformed significantly from 2000-2010 (value-heavy cycle) and underperformed from 2010-2020 (growth-heavy cycle). The long-run evidence supports a modest outperformance claim, but recent decade results have been uninspiring for fundamental indexers.
Is Competing for the Future still taught in business schools?
Yes, though more selectively than in the 1990s. Hamel and Prahalad's core competency framework is standard MBA curriculum. The specific company examples are dated but the strategic questions — what industry are we really in, what capabilities define us, what future are we competing for — remain central to strategic management courses.
Should individual investors use fundamental indexes or just stick to total-market cap-weighted funds?
Most financial planners recommend keeping the majority of equity exposure in low-cost total-market index funds. Fundamental indexing is a reasonable tilt for a minority of equity exposure for investors who understand the value-factor bet they're making. Don't abandon Bogle-style indexing entirely based on Arnott's argument.